Thursday, March 31, 2005

ARMS race ahead

Adjustable-rate mortgages hit record

It seems to defy logic, but the percentage of homeowners utilizing adjustable-rate mortgages hit a new record last week. 36.9 % of all mortgages including new originations and refinances were adjustables, up 9% from the same period in 2004. The 36.9% figure is the highest since the Mortgage Bankers Association began tracking this statistic in 1990.

I am surprised that consumers are not aggressively trying to lock in an attractive fixed-rate mortgage now before rates go up. Maybe my baby-boomer generation conservative approach is not in vogue anymore with the gen-xers and echo generation home buyers.

More home buyers go with adjustable-rate mortgages [USA Today]

Freeway to Lehigh

$577M East-West Connector Proposed

As I find my self spending an ever increasing amount of time stuck in traffic on Colonial Boulevard, the proposed new Veterans-Colonial express lanes would provide welcome relief.

The consulting and engineering firm PBS&J has completed a plan to ease the flow of traffic on the critical Veterans-Colonial route. The plan includes intersection overpasses and express lanes.

A recent US Census report on commutes, ranked Lee County as having the second longest commuting times in Florida, trailing only Broward County. On a national basis, Lee County at an average of 25.6 minutes is tied with Orange County in California as the 83rd worst for commuting times in the country.

As with any project like this, the real issue is who will foot the bill. With the explosive growth in both the Cape and Lehigh, this is a project that absolutely needs to be built.

Cape to I-75 corridor proposed [News-Press]

Tuesday, March 29, 2005

Drinking the Kool-Aid

NAR Chief Economist makes FL RE investment

Nothing like drinking your own Kool-Aid. National Association of Realtors Chief Economist David Lereah, whose book I recommended last week, recently purchased a Florida investment property. His purchase was a condominium at The Madison at SoHo in Tampa.

Lereah has been mighty bullish on the Florida market due migratory patterns into the state and also the growing real estate needs of the echo generation.

In a recent presentation to a group of Realtors in Tampa Lereah said, "I'm really putting my money where my mouth is," he explains. "I'm doing what my book says to do."

It's only a matter of time before Lereah is flippin' in Lehigh.....

NAR economist puts money where his predictions are -- Florida [Planet Realtor]

Sunday, March 27, 2005

SW Florida water problems

Can shortages slow growth?

Booming real estate markets like Phoenix and Las Vegas routinely deal with severe water shortages. Can SW Florida continue its fanatic rate of growth with dwindling supplies of H2O?

With 71 people a day moving here and the average resident using 175 gallons a day, it is easy to the rapid rate of growth in water consumption. Local officials have implemented strict rules to limit water consumption including an emergency watering schedule in Cape Coral which restricts daytime watering.

Can desalination plants which are quite common throughout the Middle East be utilized locally to tap the seemingly unlimited Gulf of Mexico? Maybe in a few years it will become commonplace to collect water in a cistern like most of Caribbean neighbors to the South.

Locally, we have seen an accelerated demand for vacant residential house lots that are served by city sewer and water. In Cape Coral, these locations are mainly in the SE and SW quadrants of the city.

Frantic growth drives water-supply crisis [News-Press]

Friday, March 25, 2005

Real estate '05 = Dot-com '99?

NY Times -- real estate investor must read

Wow, there are many similarities between the 1999-2000 Dot-com boom and today's real estate market. A red flag for me is the fact that over the past two years, 25 Harvard biz grads have entered the real estate industry.

There are also some differences between RE and the dot-coms......check out this front page article.

Trading Places: Real Estate Instead of Dot-Coms [NY Times] registration required

Boom Boom Boom

Lee and Charlotte real estate explosion continues

Boom boom is the sound of the exploding market here in SW Florida. The Florida Association of Realtors released February numbers this week and while national home sales were slightly off projections, our market continues to shine.

Lee County prices were up 37% from February 2004, with the median price of a re-sale home $235.2K. Home sale volume in Lee County was up 19% to 890 sales in February.

Charlotte County appears to have rebounded strongly from the devastation of Hurricane Charlie with a 58% increase from February 2004 to 204 new single family building permits. Total Charlotte County permits issues in February was 4,328, up more than 100% over February 2004.

I personally felt the boom boom effects this week while sourcing properties in Lehigh Acres for some of my investor customers. Lehigh property owners are getting multiple offers above asking price within hours of their listing hitting the MLS system. While I am still aggressively pursing investment opportunities in Lehigh, I would caution investors to proceed with caution in a market like this. Natural corrections are bound to occur in a dynamic market like this.

Lee home prices surge again [News-Press]
Hurricane spurs building boom [Sun-Herald]
Florida Home Sales Rise 6 Percent in February [RIS Media]

Tuesday, March 22, 2005

New RE investing books

Gulf Returns recommended

While on vacation last week had the opportunity to read a couple of real estate investing books that I think might be of interest to others.

The first is by David Lereah, the Chief Economist of the National Association of Realtors. In his book titled, Are You Missing the Real Estate Boom?, Lereah suggests that the current real estate boom is a "once-in-every-other generation opportunity."

Lereah recommends to anyone sitting on the sideline -- to get in the game NOW. He builds a strong case that today's boom is not just driven by low interest rates, there are a host of demographic and economic reasons why real estate will continue to outpace other investments. Contributing factors include the growing needs of the baby-boomer generation, the rise of the "echo" boomer generation and new ways real estate is marketed and sold.

The second recommended book is by George Ross, now famous for his role alongside Donald Trump and Carolyn Kepcher in NBC's show The Apprentice. Ross's book titled Trump Strategies for Real Estate: Billionaire Lessons for the Small Investor provides a birds eye view into the world of Donald Trump. Ross has been involved with real estate for over 50 years and is the Senior Counsel for the Trump Organization.

Ross provides an overview of the trump methodology and ties these practical tips back to the small investor. I particularly like the chapter about partnerships for investing in real estate. The chapter on negotiating provided some excellent real-world examples to come out ahead in a heated battle.

David Lereah Expands on His New Book [RIS Media]
Ross talks Business [The Hullaballoo]

Labels:

Sunday, March 20, 2005

Europeans targeting SW FL

Attracted to positive business climate

In the famous words of American Patriot Paul Revere, the British are coming the British are coming...........to SW FL. Although certainly not a new trend in SW Florida, Europeans are continuing to target our region for investment opportunities.

For many it is tough to view a $50K lot in Lehigh as affordable, but one would have a different perspective in coming from Europe where land is scarce and home ownership is to the wealthy.

We welcome our friends from across the pond with open arms.

Euro, low airfares boost investments [News-Press]

Labels:

Friday, March 11, 2005

Spec vacation homes

Investors building high-end spec homes in luxury areas

A growing trend in the luxury vacation home sector is the spec building of second homes by investors. Many investors are focusing on the ultra-luxury communities like Boca Raton and Park City, Utah.

According to the National Association of Realtors, 13 percent of all homes - or 1.02 million - purchased in 2004 were vacation homes, up nearly 20 percent from 850,000 in 2003.

This trend is also common-place in Lee County on Sanibel and Captiva Islands. A quick review if the Lee County Property Records and current MLS listings for the newer high-end subdivisions on Sanibel like Butterknife, The Sanctuary and Beachview Country Club is quite revealing. Many of the newly constructed Sanibel luxury homes listed in MLS are vacant and owned by remote investors.

It will be interesting to see if this type of spec luxury building works for investors in Lee County. Unlike the overall housing, the market for high-end luxury homes in Lee County is soft where the current available inventory for homes over $1 million is 230% greater than a year ago.

This Is the Risk That Jack Took [NY Times]
Second-Home Market Surges, Bigger Than Shown in Earlier Studies [National Association of Realtors]

Labels: , , , ,

Wednesday, March 09, 2005

Chicago developer coming

26 acre retail & business center at Veterans & Surfside

Like most guys, I am not one to get excited about more places to shop, but the development announcement on Tuesday by Dodge Capital, LLC has caught my attention.

Chicago-based Dodge Capital, LLC is developing a 26 acre parcel at the NW corner of the Veterans Parkway and Surfside Boulevard intersection.

The development will be called the Shops of Sandoval and will include a three story office building, and space for a bank, small box stores, small shops and a drive-through coffee shop. (No word yet from our Seattle friends about Cape plans.....but it can't be too much longer)

With all the growth in the Northwest Cape and Veterans Parkway serving as the primary access route, the Shops of Sandoval is well positioned for success. It sure is exciting to see the transformation of this slice of Cape Coral with the construction underway at Sandoval and now this announcement.

Developer unveils project for Cape [News-Press]

Labels:

Tuesday, March 08, 2005

Money for nothin' deeds for free


Now look at them interest rates that's the way you do it
You play investor but got no dough
That ain't workin' that's the way you do it
Money for nothin' and deeds for free


Put nothing down and don't worry much about monthly payments -- what's the worst that can happen?

A new breed of real estate investor utilizing the buy now and pay later approach has emerged and is eating at the trough of low interest rates and interest only payments.

"Mortgage markets have been so flush with cash that home buyers are able to layer one risk on top of the other," said Keith Gumbinger, vice president of HSH Associates. "It's possible to borrow more than the value of the home, put in no money of your own and pay a minimum monthly payment."

Three popular investor loan structures are: the piggyback mortgage which involves borrowing the down payment using a home equity loan; interest only mortgage and the minimum payment option ARM which is marketed as a cash flow ARM and provides the borrower with a variety of payment options each month including interest only.

Having been in the middle of the insanity that was the Internet bubble, some of these creative investor financing options are reminiscent of the 1999 IPOs of companies devoid of fundamentals or revenue.

Risky real estate moves [CNN/Money]

Labels:

Monday, March 07, 2005

Investors -- start your tractors

Farmland is a draw to diversify portfolios

As the price of vacant lots skyrockets in Florida, here is another real estate investing option.....buy a farm. With farm management options that are available today, a farm investment doesn't have to be Green Acres.

Frederick Gillis, a 37-year-old money manager with A.G. Edwards & Sons in Boston, recently purchased 320 acres in western Nebraska to provide balance to his portfolio. An advantage to investing in farmland is the ability to generate returns while holding the property. Gillis estimated he made $16,000 with his first harvest of irrigated corn and dry land wheat, or a 6.5 percent return on his $246,000 investment.

Investing in farmland is not a new trend, but it is a steady business, with many people trying it after seeing listings on the Internet or advertisements in magazines and newspapers. More than 40 percent of U.S. farmland is owned by people who don't actually work the land, and that has been the case since at least 1988, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Farmers National Company of Omaha is one of the largest farm management companies in the country and can be of assistance in locating farm investment opportunities. Farmers National offers Florida grove and crop management services through a joint venture called Blue Goose Growers based in Ft. Pierce, FL.

Those selling their land have been getting good returns, too. Across the country, the value of land and buildings on farms has grown from an average of $599 an acre in 1987 to $1,360 an acre in 2004, a 52 percent increase when adjusting for inflation.

Investors find farms can bring high yields [Houston Chronicle]

Labels:

Sunday, March 06, 2005

Florida Dreamin

Young professionals moving to Florida

The brutal weather that northerners are suffering through this winter is a Florida real estate investors dream come true. The lines at RSW are long and hotels are booked solid with guests escaping the snow. Maybe one of the environmental science grad students at FGCU can help me out by correlating the relationship between the depth of the annual snowfall in Grand Rapids, MI and single-family home prices in Lee County.

In the old days, retirees would move down to the sunshine state to enjoy their golden years. Now young families are joining the fun in the sun and affordability is a driving factor. The median cost of an existing single-family home in Florida in 2004 was $182,400. In Massachusetts, it was $340,000.

With telecommuting opportunities made possible by the rapid proliferation of broadband in the home, many young professionals can live in Florida and work thousands of miles away. Even the slow moving federal government and state governments are joining the dot com mommies and jumping on the telecommuting bandwagon.

Let it snow and a hearty welcome to the new Floridians....

Snow-weary New Englanders lured by lower Florida housing costs [Boston Globe]
But do your legwork before heading south [Boston Globe]

Labels: ,

Saturday, March 05, 2005

Home permits record

Lee County has sizable February surge

Fueled by a frenzied real estate market, single-family home permits issued in unincorporated Lee County surged to a record-breaking 782 in February.

That was on top of the 746 issued in January, itself a record-breaking month, and far more than the 466 issued in February 2004. In Cape Coral, 567 permits were issued in February compared to a record-breaking 601 in January and 383 in February 2004.

The total value of permits for January and February exceeded $1B, a remarkable figure considering the county's annual total was $2B just two years ago.

Single-family home permits hit record mark [News-Press]
Building permits increase at record pace [ABC7]

Labels: ,

Friday, March 04, 2005

Second homes market booming

Baby boomers fueling second home market

When Chip Lubeck started selling real estate on Singer Island in 1988, he worked with your typical older snowbird. “Northeasterners would buy a vacation home, stay one to four months in the winter, then close up the home until next year,” says Lubeck broker/owner of Lubeck Real Estate on Singer Island near Palm Beach.

“What used to sell for $150,000 to $160,000 now sells for $500,000 or more, and the typical older buyer can’t afford it,” he says. “There’s a new, younger jet-set crowd, and they’re paying cash for $450,000 to $650,000 homes that aren’t even on the water. In Singer Island, if you want a waterfront home, you’re paying upwards of $1 million,” he says.

"As the baby boomers begin to age, they’re using the wealth built by their parents to invest in second homes,” says industry consultant John Tuccillo. “This is compounded by the April 2000 stock market downtrend and the tech bubble bursting. Money has flooded into housing ever since,” he says.

“There’s been a shift in the last 10 years,” says Tom Bringardner, general manager of Premier Properties in Naples. “Many times these buyers are younger. They’re current corporate executives who are pre-retirement. They want to establish themselves in retirement and plan for their future. Buyers in our area are baby boomers who are the beneficiaries of wealth transfer. They’re entrepreneurs who are operating their own companies or have sold to a larger public company,” says Bringardner.

Although Florida tends to draw buyers from all over the country, according to a study by the University of Florida’s Bureau of Economic and Business Research, most second-home buyers are coming from New York, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Canada, Illinois, Georgia, Massachusetts, New Jersey and California.

Second-Home Market: Booming [Florida Realtor Magazine]

Labels:

Wednesday, March 02, 2005

My first deal

Breaking the ice

The decision to make my initial investment in Florida land was by far the toughest hurdle in my real estate investing career. There is no dipping your toe in the water -- buying investment property is a head first dive from the high board. You can read about the factors that led me to investing in SW Florida in a previous post titled The Four Ws.

This article provides a step-by-step view of this initial investment including a time line of the complete investment life cycle. The good news associated with this deal is that I netted a 20.8% ROI in just 57 days of ownership. The unfortunate aspect is that I could have significantly increased my return if I had hung onto the property a little longer.

February 23, 2004
I tour Cape Coral with a local Realtor. This is my first visit to Cape Coral and I have very mixed emotions about the place. I am most excited about the fact that you can't drive two minutes anywhere in the Cape without seeing new construction activity. I am also concerned about the overall appearance of Cape Coral, with the fast food and convenience stores dominating the landscape in a manner that is common throughout Florida. Most of the commercial areas in the city are along main streets like Del Prado, Cape Coral Parkway and Pine Island Road. I am also concerned about the sheer number of undeveloped housing lots in this city. It is hard to believe that property values are appreciating so quickly with so much vacant residential land available.

Navigating around Cape Coral is fairly straightforward as it is divided into quadrants and laid out in a grid format with numbered sections called units that are approximately one square mile in size. The avenues, boulevards, courts and places usually run North to South and the lanes, parkways, streets and terraces usually run East to West. In navigating individual street addresses, the first one or two digits of the street number identify the cross streets.

The Realtor shows me several properties mainly in the NW and SW quadrants where the most explosive growth is occurring. A number of factors are contributing to the growth in this area including the interconnection of Veterans Memorial Parkway with the Burntstore Road Extension. This new roadway creates a direct four lane highway from Western Cape Coral to the Midpoint Memorial Bridge which crosses the Caloosahatchee River and provides into Downtown Ft. Myers. I elect to view property located on freshwater canals as this is where the best return can currently be realized and after a while have a tough time differentiating one lot from another. The Realtor helps me narrow my search to a couple of Units that he prefers and I pick a property in Unit 50. Unit 50 is located close to Pine Island Road where significant new commercial development is underway. Pine Island Road also is a divider between the SW and NW quadrants in this part of Cape Coral. The lot I pick is located on a street with several beautiful new homes and backs up to Shadroe Canal which looks wider than some of the other canals that we toured. Wider canals are more desirable and command a premium price over some of the narrower canal locations.

Back at the Realtor office located on where else but Del Prado Boulevard, it is now time to consummate the deal. On this particular property, the Realtor executed on February 13, 2004 a purchase and sale contract for $36,500 with the seller through a company that he controls. The Realtor prints an MLS report of the other fresh water canal front properties that are currently on the market in Unit 50. I am excited that most of the comps that are on the market are in the high $40's, so it certainly looks like this property will yield an attractive return on resale. The purchase and sale contract has an assignability clause, so the Realtor presents me with an assignment of contract form that we both execute. I also write a $500 check made out to the attorney that is processing this closing. The closing date specified in the purchase and sale contract is March 24, 2004.

March 6, 2004
A package arrives today from the closing attorney with the documents that I need to execute and return to complete the purchase. These documents consist of the following:
1. Closing Settlement Statement detailing the net cash of $36,006.53 due to close property.
2. Tax Proration Agreement
3. Instructions How To Hold Title
4. 1031 Exchange Document (seller doing a tax deferred exchange)

Other documents in the package include:
1. Copy of the Title Commitment
2. Copy of the Warranty Deed
3. Copy of the Owner's Affidavit
4. Wiring instructions for me to send required funds

At first, all these forms can be intimidating, but after a few deals it becomes fairly routine. Over time, I have learned to understand the logic behind the various entries on the Closing Settlement Statement and have caught a few mistakes that would cost me money if not corrected. Items that typically require adjustments between the buyer and seller on a routine land sale are expenses like real estate property tax that is paid in arrears, and lot mowing and storm water fees that are paid in advance. The Cape Coral Web site has a great automated payoff calculator to view current account balances on a particular piece of property.

After signing all the documents, I make copies for my files and return them to the closing attorney. Most title companies, or in this case, a closing attorney include a prepaid addressed overnight mailer to facilitate a timely return of the documents. This type of closing is commonly referred to as a "mail away" transaction.

March 23, 2004
I prepare a letter to my bank that I send via fax providing the details to complete the wire transfer. I receive confirmation back from my bank that the wire has been sent. Usually I send the wire the day before the scheduled closing date.

March 24, 2004
I call the closing attorney and receive confirmation that the closing has occurred. I am now officially a real estate investor. One thing that surprised me was that the closing occurred over a thousand miles away without any involvement from me. It also seemed strange that no one called me to let me know it was completed. This was a very different experience for me than traditional home purchases where financing is involved and you are at an attorneys office signing a foot of paper.

March 25, 2004
I call my real estate agent to let him know that the deal is complete and to discuss listing the property. He faxes me a listing agreement to sign and return. The key aspect of the listing agreement is the fee that I will pay to the realtors for selling the property. The de facto going rate in Cape Coral for vacant land is 8%. While this rate is higher than I was accustomed to for homes that I have sold in Massachusetts, I view it as a cost of doing business in this hot market.

The Realtor recommends that I list the property at $49,850 based upon MLS comps in Unit 50. This represents a 36.5% mark-up on the property, which if the property sells fairly quickly, would be a stellar return even after closing expenses. After receipt of the listing agreement, my Realtor enters my property in the Florida Gulf Coast MLS at $49,850 and faxes me the printout detailing the listing. I really like the remarks that he has included with this property, "southern exposure, center of it all, growing area, many new homes being built." Now the waiting game begins.......

April 12, 2004
Just 18 days after the property was listed in the MLS, I have a call from my Realtor advising me that he has a "solid" offer on the lot. I ask him what solid means and he says that the offer is for $48,850, $1,000 off asking price, with a $1,000 deposit and a 30 day closing scheduled for May 12, 2004. The offer includes a mortgage contingency clause which would allow the buyer to walk away if financing cannot be obtained in 30 days.

I decide to accept the offer as is and not counter as I might today with significantly more transaction experience under my belt. The buyer has not made any modifications to the standard Florida Association of Realtors contract. I sign the vacant land contract and fax it back to my Realtor.

In Florida, it is customary for the seller to pay for the title insurance and also pick the title company to close a transaction. my Realtor recommends that I use his preferred title company. This was fine with me, so he "placed" the file at the title company.

May 10, 2004
I receive notification from the title company that the closing has been moved from May 12 to May 20 due to buyer financing issue.

May 18, 2004
A closing package arrives from the title company. Included in this package are the following:
1. Closing Settlement Statement detailing adjustments and expenses and the net cash proceeds payable to me of $44,088.97.
2. Warranty Deed
3. Affidavit of No Lien By Owner
4. Non-Foreign Certification
5. IRS W-9
6. Positive Proof of Identification
7. Seller's Affidavit (Gap)

May 19, 2004
With a mail away closing, most of the documents are required to be witnessed and notarized upon execution. Although it varies slightly by title company, in this scenario I need the warranty deed, affidavit of no lien by owner, non-foreign certification, positive proof of identification and seller's affidavit all notarized. I go to the clerk's office at my local town hall where I know they have several notaries. This proved to be a mistake as these notaries were not comfortable with notarizing Florida documents. Ultimately, they did notarize my documents but it was a rather unbelievable experience that even included a call to the Massachusetts Governor's Office about the legality of notarizing Florida real estate documents. I have since switched to my local bank and the process is very routine and painless.

I make copies of all executed documents for my files and then drop the package in the UPS box. The title company uses a legal size UPS mailer that can be re-used to return the documents to them.

May 20, 2004
I receive notification from the title company that the transaction has closed and that a check has been cut payable to me.

May 24, 2004
Check arrives from the title company for $44,088.97. I owned this property for 57 days and realized a profit of $7,558.97, an ROI of 20.8% and an annualized ROI of 133%. After this positive experience in the Florida real estate market, I was hungry for more.

Labels: , ,

Tuesday, March 01, 2005

Speculators Seeing Gold

Boom in the Prices for Homes

Within six months last year, Carlos and Betti Lidsky bought and sold two condominiums. Then they bought and sold two houses. They say they will clear a half-million dollars in profit, and none of the homes have even been built.

Now Mr. Lidsky, a lawyer, and his wife, a charity fund-raiser, have put down a deposit on a fifth property, a $1.3 million condo in a high-rise under construction, and are planning to sell before the deal closes, without even taking out a mortgage.

Speculators Seeing Gold in a Boom in the Prices for Homes [NY Times]

Labels:

Cape stiffens water rules

Low levels endanger 4,000 wells, firefighting

Is there trouble in paradise? There certainly is if the Cape runs out of water. With water levels in a major aquifer and Cape Coral's canal system dropping to dangerously low levels, city officials voted Monday to limit yard irrigation.

If water levels drop another 10 to 15 feet in the most critical area, the South Florida Water Management District could cut off well permits, which would stop construction. This area in SW Cape Coral with 4,000 homes is west of Santa Barbara Boulevard and between Mohawk Parkway and Pine Island Road.

Cape stiffens water rules [News-Press]

Labels: